Anon0045 wrote:
Good and bad is relative and I was making the post out of frustration after watching popular youtube videos.
It is perhaps a bad idea to make an argument out of frustration rather than reasoned contemplation.
I read a number of comments from antinatalists complaining about being picked on for their choices -- it's not about your choices, it's about your behavior toward others.
If antinatalists merely chose to personally not have children, rather than asserting that it was morally wrong for others to do so, there would likely be no such issue. The problem is your assertion, and shaming others for having children when there's no sound evidence or reasoning on your side.
Anon0045 wrote:
The main point I'm focusing on is whether having children will do more harm or less harm. Several arguments are more side-topics, like saying someone is selfish/unselfish, or assuming that the goal is to eradicate the human race or something like that. They don't address the main issue.
The selfishness is irrelevant to consequence, but does speak to potential biases in perception and rationalization.
The end goal of the behavior and the logical conclusions of the premise are very relevant. We have to look not just at immediate consequences, but long term as well.
We also have to consider the consequences of the mentality of pessimism inherently linked to antinatalism.
Anon0045 wrote:
I will respond to your criticism in your latest post regarding the "equation". The very basic idea is that it comes down to whether we should gamble or not. I think not gambling with the lives of others is the responsible thing to do.
Bullshit, you gamble every single day, with your life and the lives of others. We should and must gamble when the odds are in our favor. No behavior has absolutely certain outcome.
Every time you get behind the wheel of a car you are gambling; you're betting on the odds of its positive utility being greater than the risk to you and others.
Every time you post on the internet about how life is suffering and it would be better not to exist you're gambling too: you're betting on the odds of somebody not reading that and deciding to commit a mass murder/suicide based on the logical conclusions of that premise (or maybe you
want them to do that). You're somehow betting this all does more good than harm.
Every action you take is a gamble, if you were really against gambling, you'd be unable to act in this world.
Anon0045 wrote:
I'm constantly seeing condescending remarks like it's being silly to find the antinatalist arguments compelling even though the counter arguments, as I've tried to epxress in previous post, isn't very compelling themselves.
Christians get offended by the suggestion that religion is silly too, and don't find the atheistic arguments compelling: this is due to their personal bias.
Likewise, you are delusional, and the victim of a powerful pessimistic bias. It is your faith that prevents you from seeing reason.
Anon0045 wrote:
brimstoneSalad wrote:
Antinatalists aren't just making the personal decision not to have children; they claim it is morally wrong for others to have children, and try to guilt and shame others.
They do have a point. Anyone who is convinced that something is unethical may try spread that idea.
Obviously, and that's why you're being criticized. Because you're doing HARM to others. Not unlike a fundamentalist Christian who believes and advocates that homosexuality is a sin and that gays should go to hell and suffer eternally. It's an evil idea, rooted only in faith, that has somehow taken hold of you: you need to be relieved of it.
Anon0045 wrote:
How am I the villain for being frustrated by youtube arguments for having children? The frustration comes from for example condescending remarks that antinatalists are silly etc.
Antinatalists are not just silly, they are delusional and harmful, like Christian fundamentalism. It is not inappropriate to ridicule ridiculous ideas.
There are two basic types of antinatalists/philosophical pessimists:
1. The type who are deontologically libertarian (which is in itself irrational), and because of that do not want to follow the philosophy to its logical conclusion of destroying the world.
2. The kind who are consequentialists, and logically consistent, and want to destroy the world -- who are obviously evil to any sensible person. We're talking cartoon villain level here.
The former is unstable, and will either decay into the latter and support the destruction of all sentient life, or abandon the pessimistic position.
I have a feeling you're trying to advocate the first type, and you think I'm straw manning you by arguing against the second. This is where you're an idiot, because you fail to understand the logical contradictions in maintaining a deontological libertarian position (like David Benatar).
It's like advocating for liberal Christianity or Islam, and then you're surprised when people criticize the actual content of your scripture and the logical conclusions people would (and clearly do) draw from reading it and sincerely believing it.
Anon0045 wrote:
My reaction wasn't in your face, loud, or anything like that. I expressed frustration, and now you blow it out of proportion,
I consider my response pretty proportional. If you don't see it, it is due to your ignorance.
Much like a liberal Christian sees the new Atheist response against liberal Christianity as disproportional. After all, they aren't advocating stoning people or killing homosexuals: they're just advancing the idea that the Bible is a good book, but never mind reading it or being consistent because it's all about love. Well, that's not how the world works.
Anon0045 wrote:
No one had addressed the main points in this thread either, so it's not like I am dissing anyone on this forum.
What points?
You can't just claim that. Tell me what I have not addressed. I'm ready and willing to shred any argument you have.
Anon0045 wrote:
I'm merely bringing this topic up on a vegan forum. That is not the same as promoting antinatalism with veganism.
See the flat earth thread. By simply being vegan and being a nutcase, you relate the two to anybody who is made aware of your personal connection.
Anon0045 wrote:I am all for effective activism.
The problem if what you think the goal should be.
Anon0045 wrote:Yes, people can kill themselves for the greater good,
This, right here. You legitimately think it would be good for people to kill themselves. You think I should kill myself. You think EquALLity should kill herself. You think everybody on this forum should really just kill themselves for the greater good, right?
And if you had the opportunity to poison us all and kill us painlessly, would you take it?
Stuff like this tells me this philosophy is making you an evil person.
Anon0045 wrote:It doesn't seem like effective activism either. Would you be inspired by people killing themselves?
Oh, so, just because it wouldn't be "inspiring" for people to witness us killing ourselves.
How about if you can just kill everybody?
Do you lust after the giant red button of the O.O.S. crowd?
Those who do not exist are not harmed by still not existing.
Anon0045 wrote:I think you are riled up and make strawman arguments.
What about it is? Did you read my argument?
Anon0045 wrote:It doesn't mean I need to shut about antinatalism and discuss what is ethical or not. Me bringing this up on a forum is not vegan activism. Everything I do is not vegan activism.
Everything you do and believe reflects on veganism. There is a large overlap between veganism and misanthropy/philosophical pessimism/antinatalism. This reflects very poorly on veganism.
If you want to continue being vegan, you should shut up about antinatalism, or please stop calling yourself vegan. If you want to destroy all life on Earth, you're about the least vegan person there is.
Anon0045 wrote:The example of Eselstyn family seems to be to be a unique case, because there is fame, fortune and respect involved, which people are naturally attracted to.
The only reliable case studies we have are of famous families; other cases are hard to confirm. Given a lack of statistics, it's reasonable to look to case studies. We can't draw strong conclusions from them, but there's no reason recidivism should be high.
Anon0045 wrote:Edit: I made a big embarrassing error in my calculation...
If you can't do math, stop putting so much faith in your "calculations".
You're like a numerologist. You think this stuff is rational, but it's just you pushing numbers around. It's very easy to build a chaotic function, and that makes this all just a big ad hoc hypothesis that you can easily tweak in either direction with slight changes in the variables: all your equations do is make it look fancy and convincing to people who are ignorant of mathematics and statistics.
You made much more embarrassing errors in your assumptions:
1. Those who go back to eating meat after being veg frequently eat less meat, both for ethical considerations and because they are accustomed to and familiar with more options. This is not an either-or issue, but a spectrum.
2. Likewise, vegans will usually only convince a few people to go vegan, but may influence dozens or hundreds of people to reduce meat consumption. Are you aware that the vast majority of consumers buying vegan products in stores actually are not vegan themselves?
3. Non-vegans also have a positive effect on others, given that they are flexitarian-reducitarian. This is to be expected of a lot of failed vegans, who frequently still support animal rights or welfare, and often encourage people to eat less meat, and still see veganism as "a good thing to do".
4. The principle of critical mass: Feedback is non-linear. The more socially normal and accessible veganism is, the easier it becomes to convince people to reduce or eliminate animal products. I would take an extra billion people in the world today if only a quarter of them were vegan.
Moby wrote:
The thing for me that is the most surprising is the advances in veganism that have come from non-vegans. For example, Mark Bittman is one of my favorite vegan evangelists and he's not vegan. He wouldn't pass muster with the hardcore, 100 percent vegans with their ethical purity tests, but people like Ellen Degeneres, who's not a vegan, have done more to advance the cause of animal rights than most vegans I know.
http://www.foodandwine.com/blogs/moby-v ... evangelism
Anon0045 wrote:
With this 1.02 number, it would require 50.5% of children to be vegan just to break even.
Skimming your "math", you need to explain more clearly what you think you're doing if you want people to follow your "logic" here.
But if you needed to use an
equation to tell you that in order for the ratio of vegans to carnists to grow
indefinitely based on the contributions of vegans alone, a vegan needs to produce slightly more vegans than carnists, that's pretty silly.
That's a useless number, though, in
so many ways.
You completely ignore the actual number of carnists today, and their contributions.
If there are a billion carnists in the world, and I'm the only vegan, if I have a hundred children and only two of them end up vegan, once I'm gone I will have still almost
doubled the ratio of vegans to carnists in the world.
This is closer to the situation we have today. Having 98 carnist kids does almost nothing to influence the number of carnists, but having two vegan kids doubles the vegan influence on the world.
The ratio is very important to social change, because it's what contributes the most in terms of ideological influence.
This is why I say I would gladly add a billion people to the world today if only 25% of them were vegan.
It would probably be a good choice if only 10% of them were vegan too.
Do you have any idea what kind of market pressure that would create? How much influence on peers in favor of social normalcy that would result in? How much
political pressure that would mean?
At some point as the percentage lowered, this might become a bad choice, but it's not clear where (perhaps if it were under 1%).
You are apparently laboring under the delusion that the only positive influence we can have on the world is by creating vegans in one-on-one direct evangelism with on the spot conversions. That's not how influence works.
All of your attempts at mathematical reasoning are useless, because all you have done is represent the worst case scenario in ignorance of how real change and social movements manifest.
Anon0045 wrote:
than Usually children follow their parents footstep, so it is reasonable to lower the 75% recidivism rate (which could be higher) and maybe have at least 50%?
Much higher than that, if you consider the fact that even the "failures" will positively regard animal rights and welfare, and use fewer animal products than the typical consumer.
Anon0045 wrote:The goal is less meat eaters.
Is it really? I thought it was less animal suffering.
If you just want fewer meat eaters, you could become a mass murder and achieve that goal pretty easily.
Anon0045 wrote:If we can have less meat eaters with more vegans in the long run, I would support that. If the expected value is less meat eaters, I would agree that having more kids is a good thing because I trust in probability theory.
So, now you do trust probability theory, and accept "gambling" if the odds are in your favor.
Anon0045 wrote:I just to know the value of each variable to feel confident.
Then don't be an anti-natalist. Be neutral on the subject if you really want: I won't criticize you so harshly for that.
Antinatalists are making a claim, and in doing so adopt a burden of proof that they are unwilling or unable to carry.
Anon0045 wrote:We don't know what would happen, therefore it seems more responsible to not gamble. Sure if you don't take a risk, you won't win, but now there is a solution that allows us to win without taking much risk.
What is your "solution" that you think has so little risk?
How arrogant are you, exactly, that you think you have the one and only answer to everything?
Do you want to wipe out all life on Earth? What?
You think vegans not breeding is going to inspire everybody to realize voluntary human extinction?
You think vegans not breeding is going to cause the population to level off so it never reaches a critical level?
Anon0045 wrote:We don't know what it's like to live with 30 billion people or what new problems would occur or which old problems that can be solved. What issues does veganism solve and what doesn't veganism solve? For example, pollution or deforestation; while being vegan does help a lot, it's not the only solution.
None of this is relevant to the topic at hand, because dysgenic antinatalism is not a solution to population growth. All you'll do is make the population stupider and less responsible by advocating these policies, and place a selective pressure for stronger breeding instincts.
Anon0045 wrote:The way I see it, the answer to what is more ethical depends on the person and what they are willing to do/not do.
Oh, so for a person who is only willing to eat factory farmed meat or free ranged meat, that person would be ethical if he or she chose the better option?
Anon0045 wrote:For example, a person who is willing to do activism and is progressing, and not drained by the activism, would do more good not to adopt, because caring for another being requires time and energy invested into it.
You're gambling on the good that you can do in a single lifetime without being distracted being greater than the good your lineage will do over generations. That's pretty arrogant.
If you're on the verge of developing a clean fusion technology and you just need a little more time to perfect it, this may be valid, but for most people it will not be.
Anon0045 wrote:Adopting helps at least one person,
And wastes tens of thousands of dollars, which is not effective altruism.
If you're willing to spend ten thousand dollars on adoption, then just have your own kid instead and donate that money. Even donating a small fraction of that would do more good than the adoption itself.
Anon0045 wrote:I didn't know they had lower IQ on average, but that wouldn't make much of a difference based on the calculation above (and assumptions).
Because your assumptions are wrong, and your calculation is not relevant to the discussion. Higher IQ makes an enormous difference. IQ is correlated with being vegetarian (and should be correlated to staying veg too, given that), and it certainly contributes strongly to effective advocacy. Stupid people are not as persuasive as smart people, and have difficulty understanding and engaging in the kind of discussion (and probably the emotional distance) needed to be good advocates.
In the very least, IQ is also correlated to a higher income, which also means more ability to give to animal charities and causes.
Anon0045 wrote:The goal to have fewer non-vegans, not more vegans in the end. If more vegans means less non-vegans, that would be good too, but I don't see it. It is the percentage that matters.
Your goals, and your perspective of social change are highly distorted, No wonder you can't see reason on this topic: all of your premises are profoundly ignorant.